1. (9:30am) Lay the points -9.5 on 10-1 Lions at home V. 4-7 Bears
A similar narrative, I’ve had for the past three weeks. Another win
coming by the God of Domes, Jared Goff. Goff is the best Dome QB
in the league and Sunday, we will see more of the same. Like last
week, I see this line as too low. I see the line at more like -12.5.
Detroit is simply the best and most complete team in football and the
best Dome team in the league. The Bears have yet to win a road game
and will be facing the #1 offense in the league (33.6 points a game).
Granted, I see the Bears being competitive for most likely the first
half, I also see the Lions pull away in the second half.
Dan Campbell is now 44-18 ATS as Lions head coach and no one
can beat the Lions in a dome. A big turkey leg for the Lions at home.
Lock of the week: Lions 38-24: Lions -9.5

2. (5:20pm) Lay the points -6.5 on 8-3 Packers @ home V. 5-6 Miami
Packers D and a very cold Lambeau will make it extremely tough on
a warm weather team. Dolphins are 2-14 SU as an underdog and
will be facing a Packers D who only played 22 minutes in their
complete destruction of the Niners last week. I see a very somewhat similar outcome in
this TNF late game match-up, albeit the weather will slow things down.

Packers will have both the rest and weather advantage and will cover in a lower scoring contest.

I see the line moving to -8.5 at home in the win. Packers are 8th in scoring
and 5th in total offense and allow the 2 nd least sacks in the league.
Packers at home 24-10: Packers -6.5

3. (10:00am Sunday) Lay -5.5 on 7-5 Washington at home V. 3-8 Titans
Titans are 2-9 ATS and are facing Washington who is 7-4-1 ATS.
Commanders are at risk of losing their 4 th straight and 4-2 at home on
the year. Washington has scored on 53% of their drives this season,
the highest in the NFL. WR Terry McLaurin ranks 4 th in receiving
yards (823 yds and 7 TDs) and Washington ranks 6 th in offensive
power rankings. They are 5 th in the NFL in points per game and 6th in
yards per game at 370.5. Dan Quinn has his team believing despite
three losses in a row. Commanders bounce back in this one.
Washington covers ATS 27-17

4. (10:00am) Lay -5 on 7-5 Texans @ 2-9 Jags
Texans bounce back as road favorites against a struggling Jags team
who have lost 4 in a row. Granted Jags are 4-1 ATS in their last five
games, I see CJ Stroud and company too much for the Jags to handle.
The Texans will be looking to bounce back. Even if Trevor Lawrence
does return to action, I’m still taking the Texans and laying the points in this
one.

Texans cover ATS with a final of 24-17

5. (10:00am) Take -1.5 Chargers @6-5 Falcons

Last week's loss to the Ravens was a heartbreaker in a game, the Chargers could have easily won, if not for dropped balls and a critical defensive pass interference call being called back late in the game. While the Falcons sit atop the NFC North in an extremely weak division, they have lost two in a row including a 38-6 pounding by the Broncos and Bo Nix.

Atlanta can't stop a nose bleed at this point, sitting at #25 in defense, allowing 24.9 a game. Chargers run game, their D, Herbert and Harbaugh make this a winner for the Bolts! Great coach and QB! That's a lot of what you need!

Chargers 27-20: -1.5 Chargers on the road

Bonus parlay for early game Thanksgiving: 3 pick prop parlay at +350:

Lions game:

Anytime TD and over 70.5 receiving yards for Amon-Ra St. Brown

Over 96.5 all purpose (running and receiving yards) for Jahmyr Gibbs who has done this 6/11 times on the season.

This should be a very easy 3-pick parlay